Abu Dhabi, November 10, (Emirates 24/7): Oil companies that invest during the current downturn in oil prices stand to profit the most when supply and demand comes back into balance, according to the UAE Minister of Energy Suhail bin Mohammed Faraj Faris Al Mazrouei.
The long-term demand for oil outstripped supply, and that for companies with strong balance sheets and a long-term view now was the time to invest, not to withdraw, he said on the sidelines of the VIP Programme on the UAE’s future energy vision, held during the current Abu Dhabi International Petroleum Exhibition and Conference (ADIPEC 2016) "The oil industry is inherently cyclical - this is a basic point that often gets overlooked in the short-term noise - and finding an equilibrium between supply and demand is almost impossible," said Al Mazrouie, who is also the managing director of Abu Dhabi's International Petroleum Investment Company, IPIC.
"However, demand has consistently increased, and the business cycle that drives an increase in demand moves much more quickly than the oil industry can expand its capacity for supply." US$200-billion worth of oil and gas projects had been postponed worldwide because of the fall in prices, he said.
"With the industry needing between six and nine years to move from discovery of new deposits through to production, the dramatic fall in investment would leave companies making those cuts slow to respond when the market started to rise."
By contrast, those that invested while asset prices were low would be ideally positioned with to meet increased demand with additional capacity, gaining a bigger share of a future rising market, according to the energy minister.
"The dramatic reaction in reducing investment will inevitably lead to demand coming back into equilibrium, and ultimately exceeding supply in the coming years," he said. "We can see the cyclical nature of the industry reinforced before our very eyes. For those companies that are strong enough to hold their nerve and make strategic long-term investments, this is a golden opportunity."
"The very fact that oil had fallen so significantly in price could itself trigger a recovery. Lower costs acted as an economic stimulus for countries that were net energy importers, supporting growth in the global economy, and ultimately increasing demand in the commodities markets," Minister Al Mazrouie concluded.